Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.573588 1.641666 1.711468 1.788516 1.871327 1.957823 2.055208
2025-12-28 1.459465 1.557505 1.661820 1.781590 1.915954 2.062805 2.236494
2026-01-04 1.347222 1.463068 1.589949 1.740307 1.915055 2.113556 2.358750
2026-01-11 1.278542 1.409941 1.557599 1.737669 1.953941 2.208837 2.537464
2026-01-18 1.229788 1.374762 1.541467 1.750167 2.008652 2.324275 2.748816
2026-01-25 1.173964 1.326867 1.506016 1.735226 2.026595 2.393444 2.905894
2026-02-01 1.118070 1.275131 1.462019 1.705523 2.021997 2.431208 3.022419
2026-02-08 1.056341 1.212914 1.401412 1.650456 1.979735 2.414536 3.059993
2026-02-15 1.014247 1.172668 1.365692 1.624429 1.972748 2.443103 3.162261
2026-02-22 0.983720 1.145223 1.344378 1.615253 1.986702 2.500092 3.310035
2026-03-01 0.950546 1.112913 1.315136 1.593569 1.981402 2.528281 3.415152
2026-03-08 0.904803 1.062938 1.261065 1.535865 1.922280 2.473878 3.383855
2026-03-15 0.880741 1.041618 1.245572 1.532647 1.944138 2.546487 3.576384
2026-03-22 0.865030 1.030627 1.243335 1.547719 1.993652 2.665742 3.864965
2026-03-29 0.836587 1.001935 1.216300 1.526696 1.988675 2.700058 4.010954
2026-04-05 0.819538 0.987635 1.208000 1.531676 2.022840 2.799678 4.291378
2026-04-12 0.806959 0.978730 1.206521 1.546151 2.072230 2.928735 4.650697
2026-04-19 0.787020 0.959115 1.189313 1.536431 2.082629 2.992146 4.889138
2026-04-26 0.763974 0.934491 1.164118 1.513461 2.070056 3.013824 5.042674
2026-05-03 0.735219 0.901225 1.125639 1.468799 2.019501 2.963213 5.028714
2026-05-10 0.715472 0.879828 1.103307 1.447697 2.006503 2.979865 5.171075
2026-05-17 0.701083 0.865409 1.090402 1.440357 2.015802 3.038344 5.422595
2026-05-24 0.684238 0.847094 1.071271 1.422488 2.006073 3.059646 5.587357